Archive for the ‘politics’ Category

My Pandemic. A Lock-Down Journal in New Zealand, Day 2

Saturday, March 28th, 2020

Pressing the RESET button on all we used to know, on all we used to do, on all we used to be.

It’s like God or some unknown entity, be it Terrestrial or not, has this button and decides to reset humankind again after 100 years since the Spanish Flu.

Here in my own “bubble” I spent today working and looking out the window. There were more cars, more bikes, more people running or walking, it seemed like “back to normal within not quite normal” and I thought that the restrictions should be tougher and should be really enforced. Why should you be allowed to drive kilometres away from your home just to do you jogging routine in a nicer park or why should you go across town to walk your dog? What’s wrong with exercising in your immediate neighbourhood? Actually, in New Zealand most properties should be large enough for a stroll, as most have outdoor areas.

My wife went to her work and back. She saw no police car, but plenty of vehicles out and about. I know it was only the second day of our national quarantine, but we either do this or we don’t, there is no grey area. I would expect police with loudspeakers to be present and to enforce this lock-down a bit harder.

I detect in the official media the insinuation of the idea that the lock-down might take longer. I also detect that there is virtually no free voice to challenge some of the actions (or the inaction) of the Government.

People here still don’t get it!

More, many more cases in New Zealand today, a total of 368, with 85 new and one in intensive care for the first time. Yet people still don’t get it. We (some, too many) have this mentality:

  • It’s just a flu
  • It won’t affect me because I’m young and strong
  • It’s not here yet
  • It will be over in a couple of weeks.

This mentality will kill many and some of the dead will be close to us, some might be us. It’s like standing casually on the railway waiting for the freight train to run you over and saying “there’s not such a thing like e freight train”. Well, it actually is and it goes quite fast through Italy, Spain, the US and other places right now.

Of course, our country is isolated. That’s the general feeling – isolation will protect us. But I am afraid it won’t, because we used to be a hub for tourism, tenths of thousands of Kiwis returned form overseas in the past two months (largely unchecked), not to mention the international visitors and people on student or work visas, of which about 100,000 are understood to be trapped here (for their good, maybe). I give you a simple calculation:

  • About 80,000 people came to NZ after the outbreak in China, but during the outbreaks in Iran and Europe, plus North America and Australia.
  • No clear restrictions were in place, though quarantine had been imposed for the first arrivals from Wuhan, China.
  • Assuming that only 1% of the returnees in February and March were infected, which could be an underestimation, we might have 800 vectors roaming around NZ for a month or so.
  • If a contagion rate of only 1 to 1 (much lower than the actual spread of the Covid-19) occurred, we are facing at least 1600 loose cases, new vectors in the community. The cat has been out of the bag for too long and there might be many kittens in your neighbourhood already.

Apart from this, we are starting a fashion enterprise at home. My wife makes face masks and I market them. They won’t be cheap, as it takes about one hour to make one and they won’t offer much protection, maybe just psychological.

I’d rather see that RESET button be pushed again, so I can wake up and forget this nightmare altogether before the H A R D part hits us like a tonne of bricks. It could be just a matter of days.

My Pandemic. A Lock-Down Journal in New Zealand, Day Zero

Wednesday, March 25th, 2020

Really?

Is this really happening?

What I am intrigued by is not that the lock-down is actually implemented. I am surprised and somewhat comforted by the way my fellow citizens are acting.

I think (almost) everybody is taking this seriously and it might actually work, at least in Christchurch, where we had a series of earthquakes about ten years ago and we are still licking our wounds after them. But we are prepared. Almost all the people I know, all I interact with, the ones I saw today, be them shoppers or cashiers, authorities or kids, boy racers or joggers, they all got the message that this is SERIOUS and we can help INDIVIDUALLY to ride the wave. I have the feeling that our society is mature and deserves to survive this with as few scars as possible.

It ain’t easy, though. Not a walk in the park. Most of our daily liberties we always took for granted are now restricted or cancelled.

My expectation is that in New Zealand the peak of the first wave of the Covid-19 will be around the 15th of April 2020. The number o confirmed cases by then could be anywhere between 1500 and 5000, depending on the number of tests and patients who see a doctor. It sounds like a lot, but actually it would be quite reasonable. Our health system is small, yet advanced, skilled and well prepared. We can fight this and win.

There might be a regional lag, as communities in the North Island, mainly Auckland, are denser and the South Island is more suitable for proper isolation.

Today I worked from home, it was an influx of positive feedback from people I am normally in touch with. I managed to get out of the house in the afternoon, but virtually all non-grocery shops were closed. later, in the evening, I planted a New Zealand flag in the middle of my front lawn. And my house is covered in Christmas lights, though we are approaching Easter.

Entering this phase in 25 minutes – COMPLETE LOCK DOWN.

My kids are with their mother for the moment. It’s been a relief to find out that children of separated parents can stay alternatively with both mum and dad, in the same town. State of Emergency this time around has some human touch.

Today is still Day Zero. I look forward to Day 1 and to AT LEAST four weeks of house arrest / home detention / self isolation. A lot of gardening to do, shame this virus decided to come before winter, not to mention that many viruses actually like to have it cold.

Over & out, I have to feel the transition to state of emergency, as it happens.

11 minutes left.

My Pandemic. A Lock-Down Journal in New Zealand, Day Minus 1

Wednesday, March 25th, 2020

I can’t believe this!

Yesterday our Prime Minister announced that we shall be entering a lock down for four weeks, as starters.

What I can’t believe is WHY SO LATE? But we have to do it, I guess later is better than never. In my opinion, NZ should have closed its borders in February, when we had no Covid-19 cases. Anyway, now it is what it is and everyone seems to stick with this plan.

I followed the official announcement at work, with the whole office. Some of us did not believe it could be so serious. I had advocated the gravity of this pandemic even since it was first disclosed in China, but few were listening.

Yesterday we had 102 confirmed cases, today we have 155. It could be worth and it WILL be worse very soon, it just depends how bad it gets. So far, 25 of these cases are on the island where I live, two of them in my town.

We were given some 48 hours to prepare for the full lock down. Generous from the Government, I’d say. But lots of people rushed to get provisions. There were no significant shortages, with the exception of satiation products. As for face masks, I haven’t seen one for sale since the crisis begun. The general feeling was not at all negative among shoppers and fellow citizens, I saw some erratic driving, but most of the people behaved. “Social distancing” was introduced, it seems to be set at 2 meters, which are marked on the floor or pavement, so you know where to stand in the cue.

Kids’ school finished abruptly after the announcement. I took mine with me shopping (and bulk buying a bit) yesterday. Today I went to the office briefly to get some stationary, the rest of the day was WFH (working from home). This was much busier than initially expected.

I don’t think I am infected, but I might be. For the past 36 hours or so I had a funny feeling in my throat, the very back of my mouth, kind of. It feels dry and I have an occasional dry cough. It is not something you get with the flu or the cold. It feels like after you’ve smoked cheap tobacco all night at a dodgy party. (Yes, I used to be a smoker in my previous life.) Very dry feeling. And I drank a lot of liquids. No fever. Some muscle pain and blocked ears, sometimes my nose also feels very dry. It could be just a psychological reaction to all this. Visits to doctors are discouraged and I am not calling any medical help at this stage because I would waste valuable time which could be spent with really serious cases.

I have a lot of questions with no answers. My wife is a healthcare worker and will carry on interacting with many people, my kids have the other parent living in another place but we are supposed to lock down in a “bubble”, I have a mortgage and other commitments based on my income before the pandemic, etc. We are not sure how things will work out. What I am sure of, though, is that it will be tougher than we can foresee, longer than most believe, and the consequences will be severe socially and economically. I just hope it does not degenerate in anarchy.

I bought a big whiteboard, so we may set some tasks around the house and garden, maybe the kids will get involved. This could be an opportunity to bond during a strange WAR.

I’d better finish now this initial note, as it’s past midnight and we entered the last day of relative freedom. After 24 hours, we go in total self isolation. We are now on Day ZERO.

Close New Zealand Borders to Avoid the Corona Virus Pandemic!

Wednesday, February 26th, 2020

Close NZ borders!

Act like there's no tomorrow!
Act like there’s no tomorrow!

We are the only developed country in the privileged position to avoid severe consequences.

We are an island nation.

We have a pristine environment with clear air and plenty of fresh drinking water.

We produce enough food to sustain our population.

We are energetically independent.

Why take any chances?

We don’t know yet what the worst case scenario with the corona virus pandemic might be. The economy will suffer anyway, let’s not risk lives for the sake of not losing money. The magnitude of this is yet unknown.

Close NZ borders before it is too late!