Posts Tagged ‘World War’

My Pandemic. A Lock-Down Journal in New Zealand, 12 Days by Now

Monday, April 6th, 2020

Open your eyes, New Zealand!


We are not yet out of the woods, like dear PM Jacinda Arden and her lapdogs are self-congratulating themselves for.


Ponder these facts:

  1. Medical Stats Manipulation – New Zealand’s TV leaders of the day pretend that we are “flattening the curve” and we are leading the World with our swift and tough measures, that we acted earlier and more decisive than any other country. I beg you pardon?! Just merely over one month after our first confirmed case of Covid-19, today (06/04/2020) we have over 1100 cases. And we are proud with this result. Taiwan, more then TWO months after their first case, now have less tan 400. And their population is five times larger than ours. Not to mention their proximity to the point where the pandemic exploded from. Compared to Taiwan, New Zealand has been at least 20 times more exposed. And this is without taking into account that we had plenty of warning and they didn’t. There are a few other countries much better than ours on the stats, including some in the heart of Europe.
  2. Real Response to Covid-19 – This weird coalition Cabinet that runs New Zealand after the last elections had no clue of what was going on. But they can’t be blamed, as other countries acted even slower. However, other countries had multiple interests to save and few possibilities to lock down. Us, as an island nation, could have easily instituted two simple measures: A. Close the borders to all non-nationals; B. Place all returnees to the country in mandatory supervised quarantine. I don’t have the figures, but I bet 99% of the current cases in NZ are related to people who came in through this soft border system. This amounts to criminal neglect, as we could see at that time the ravages Covid-19 was inflicting on other developed countries.
  3. Business Relief Package? At What Cost? – It was great to see our country’s leaders, especially Mr. Finance Minister, being so generous with a business/worker (and beneficiary???) relief package. This came even before most of the country realised we could be in trouble economically. But where do you think this money is coming from? The answer has two parts: A. the money comes from the money printing press, and much more will need to be manufactured, to be released, and to generate inflation, which is a state of the economy when the ruling class has the working class by the throat with just two fingers; B. the backup for this money is not in gold reserves, but in tax you and I pay. If you are an “essential” business which can keep on operating, you pay tax, real tax money resulted after real work. If you are a worker really working during these times, you pay tax on your income. If you are an investor, you pay. If you are anyone who is successful or just want to go about normal business, YOU pay. The state takes your real money, prints some more and creates this communist environment where everyone should be happy. Only it needs more and more money from the ones who work to pay for the voters who don’t. 
  4. Monetary & Banking Outcome – The slow uptake on the real planetary situation with this pandemic created a great opportunity for speculators and money launders. The NZ Dollar dropped significantly in relation with currencies form much more engendered countries & economic zones, like versus Euro, USD, Pound. Why??? We are in a more protected “bubble”, aren’t we? We produce food for the rest of the World, aren’t we? First of all, by dropping the value of our currency, our individual international buying power is dropping. We won’t have overseas holidays in a hurry, I take that. But if you want to buy online a pair of Italian boots for your wife’s birthday, you have to pay about 17% more because our currency has dropped by that much in relation to the Euro. I bet your company is not increasing your salary by 17% to compensate for this. As for the banking equation, if you have a mortgage or any other loan, any delay in paying it on regular terms will be welcomed by your creditor, as it is going to cost you larger in the long term. This government just established the framework in which you can be screwed. And don’t get me started on your retirement savings…
  5. Media in Survival Mode – I am disgusted to hear a relentless choir of media praises to our PM and her great visionary guidance through this crisis. Some media outlets simply belong to the Government, as their money solely come from us, the tax payers. But other media outlets are either scared, or simply deceased by now. No media, no democracy.
  6. Democracy Setback – We are, no doubt, in unprecedented circumstances. But is this crisis worth losing about 150 years of advance in this home of democracy? Is this bug enough to kill most of our freedom? There is no acting Parliament and, when a generously-established scrutinising opposition-lead committee wants to maintain balance, its leader is accused of breaking the lock-down to attend sessions, while the Health (I repeat: HEALTH) Minister is OK to go mountain biking and not reply to requests for interviews. Ms Jacinda Arden has not fired her idiotic lapdog. She wants him quiet, so she can have centre stage for herself, with her daily crafted speeches.
  7. The Elasticity of the Lock-down – I look out the window as I work from home. It appears to me that more cars, motorbikes, push bikes (with Lycra-dressed folks in competition mode), babies alone, mothers searching for their babies, pushchairs, gang members, dogs dragging gang members, the whole social menagerie has exploded on our streets. Why worry? After all, we did not quarantine likely infected returnees to New Zealand, instead we kindly send them home, to a happy place of potential isolation. How many of them? Maybe 250 thousand? Ore more? How many of them carrying the infection? 1%? So, only 2500 potentially spreading this for over a month in every part of the country?
  8. Parking Democracy for the Sake of Spin – It is great to be in control! Imagine having one remote on which you can push a button and make the whole country obey, plus ensure you win the next elections. It is OK to introduce a bit of fear in the game, so people will really love you when you push that button which denies them essential human rights. Why? To better protect them from themselves. Because you were late in introducing significant measures and this delay gave you more power.
  9. Worst Case Scenario Is Still Very Likely – Judging by the statistics we are being fed with every lunchtime, consolidated by the official state propaganda, we are doing well. We may come out of the lock-down late April. Great stuff, we can’t wait for it! But WHAT IF? What if this pandemic is a bit like other pandemics and has a second, maybe a third wave? 
  10. Am I Wrong??? At the moment I am writing this, we have about 1.3 million confirmed Covid-19 cases worldwide, with about 70 thousand people dead. These stats are likely well under the real reality. But even so, we have now about 1 person killed for ever 10 thousand people alive on this planet. And the pandemic is growing, it would be fair to accept that 3-5 per 10,000 will die. That means millions in hospitals or not even able to get in. I hope I am wrong. But is this the time to politicise or to unite? Am I wrong? Is this the time to let democracy slip away? Am I wrong? Is this the time to allow economy to be controlled by the state? To let this Covid-19 infection destroy the best in mankind? Do we want anarchy after pandemic? 
Am I wrong? Is this the time to let democracy slip away?

My Pandemic. A Lock-Down Journal in New Zealand, Day 4

Sunday, March 29th, 2020

The first time I go out shopping since the lock-down started four days ago. We needed things like eggs, bananas, bread and milk. I could delay it a few days, but I simply wanted to see how war-time shopping works and how easy it is for me to respect some self-imposed hygiene and protection rules.

MY 15 RULES FOR SAFE PANDEMIC SHOPPING

  1. Wear two masks: a better mask like a dust one on the inside, covered by a self-made fabric mask or just a wrapped cloth on the outside.
  2. Wear glasses and cover your hair.
  3. Keep the inner mask for further use, wash the outer mask together with all the clothes that have been outside.
  4. Use the entry of your house area as a quarantine zone, take off all your clothes there and put them straight into the the washing machine.
  5. Keep the outside shoes outside the house if you can, or in the quarantine zone.
  6. Keep the non-perishable products away from your house, like in the boot of your car or in the quarantine zone, and don’t touch them for 72 hours.
  7. Wipe the products to be used sooner with a disinfecting cloth.
  8. Take no bags to the shop, leave them in the car and fill them in the boot from the shopping trolley. If you don’t have a car, use a large backpack the same way.
  9. Use rubber gloves or plastic bags, one hand on the trolley or basket, one hand on the groceries. Throw them away before you enter the car or house.
  10. Use only one credit card, contact-less if you can, and disinfect it at home.
  11. Don’t take your watch, jewellery or other unnecessary accessories outside.
  12. Keep your phone always in the pocket and have a code with your family, like “ring me three times and I’ll ring you back when I can do so safely”.
  13. Don’t touch or take out of your pocket the car keys if your car has key-less entry, or treat your keys like the credit card and disinfect them when you return, if you must touch them.
  14. Treat the inside of your car as “less contaminated”, but the outside and the boot where the bags are as “more likely contaminated” and avoid using the car for the next 72 hours.
  15. Have a shower once you are back home, before you get into new clothes.

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

Overall, I drove 3.5 kilometres each way to the nearest supermarket and I saw 15 moving cars and 18 people with 7 dogs. No children at all. The shop was well stocked and they had clear safety measures in place. I was impressed by the whole set-up, not so much by some prices. People’s attitude towards the pandemic is changing. I’d say 50% were wearing masks and 25% had gloves. Everyone was polite, but quiet.

Today we had the first casualty in New Zealand but for the second day in a row the number of new cases has decreased, despite the more increased tested. Total number of cases in our country so far is 415. A month ago we had zero, a week ago we had 52.

I still can’t understand why instead of early measures at the beginning, which would have harmed the economy but saved many lives, we had to wait, hesitate, and then impose late measures which harm human rights (and the economy).

Could World War III be Triggered by the Egypt Situation? – The Fate of Islam and the Paradox of Democracy

Monday, January 31st, 2011

Seven days after the Egypt uprising started, Hosni Mubarak is buying time.

He knows his reign is over but he also knows his predecessor, Anwar El Sadat, perhaps more popular and respected, ended up with a bullet in his chest, meters away from where Mubarak himself was standing.

The 82 year old president needs to accomplish three objectives before he leaves the country – yes, this is the only option left for him at this stage:

1. he has to destroy as much as possible of the information that links him and his close allies to any corruption or more severe crimes;

2. he must secure the moneys an other valuables (30 years old dictatorships, even rather benign ones, tend to gather a bit of cash) will be easy to access if and when and where he is overseas and prosecuted (Swiss banks are no more safe heavens from this point of view);

3. he is perhaps negotiating to find a country to harbour him and his dearest long term – the main candidate would be the USA, to which he’s been a good team player, however, the USA will have to make do with the following regime and has no interest to upset a new Egyptian government (this is what happened when the last Shah of Iran, the exiled and dying Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, hoped to find refuge in the USA).

Yet the fate of Mr Mubarak is less important. The future of Islam and indeed the fate of the whole World could be at stake.

If democratic elections are held in Egypt, the Muslims will undoubtedly win a vast majority. Even with a moderate government, assuming that Mohamed Elbaradei becomes the president, it is unlikely that Egypt’s policy towards Israel and even the USA will maintain status qvo. This is a gunpowder barrel to watch.

The paradox of democracy is that it never worked in a volatile environment. And what more flammable situation than what we experience now in the Middle East? Extrapolating,  between Islam and Judeo-Christianity, even beyond, on a planet where the only superpower is loosing ground on every direction, excepting the military one, what is happening in Egypt could be seen as a new Sarajevo, the starting point of  World War III, the pretext for a reshuffle of the international draw cards.

Actually, a Sarajevo-type event took place in New York ten years ago, with the attack on the Twin Towers but it is only know that the ball is in the moderate Arabs’ court, which indicates the maximum level of insecurity for this type of play.  This is not George W. Bush versus the Taliban. This is no joke. It’s the big cutting of the cake and anyone wants a good slice of it.

For the next year or two, watch countries like Iran, Dubai and its associated emirates, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Libya, Turkey, Pakistan (the only Muslim nuclear country), Azerbaijan, both Korean states, Venezuela, Cuba, Nigeria, France, Italy, Serbia, Greece and the Vatican.

As strange as it may seem, a major international crisis can achieve a few positive changes:

1. a massive boost for the global economy;

2. a redistribution of the power balance, perhaps with China dominating the East and the Pacific, the USA, Europe and Russia controlling the North and the Atlantic, India acting as a world umpire;

3. oceanic and African resources being shared more evenly;

4. less religious hatred with the humiliation of Islam and minimization of the other major monotheistic trends;

5. exponential scientific  progress in information, energy (oil will be made redundant sooner than expected) and genetics, leading to the need of a global governance, with the aim of colonizing the outer space (large corporations to act first, as they are better prepared for a changing world than governments).

It is very unlikely that those changes will occur without high loss of life. Mass-murder weapons could be deployed and entire populations may be eradicated.

The way Hosni Mubarak will leave Egypt should give us some indication of where everything is heading to. Watch the mockoblog during these interesting and dangerous times and hope you are on the winning side, as there may be no neutral options.